Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3016.528376 3259.006108 3504.657173 3771.832402 4053.896365 4342.500914 4659.787523
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2657.502143 3021.948056 3404.843883 3835.864545 4306.284174 4802.880646 5365.477987
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2371.126425 2803.747988 3270.919637 3810.346174 4413.423742 5064.343685 5817.401419
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2218.238642 2708.323897 3249.477128 3887.147992 4613.695905 5411.499134 6349.432669
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2063.030585 2593.669755 3191.570572 3909.031375 4740.286317 5666.892717 6771.478577
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1921.281621 2482.341253 3126.465530 3912.346109 4836.754615 5881.156312 7141.578242
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1735.587247 2306.444930 2974.495180 3803.380083 4793.240384 5926.590751 7310.986051
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1690.874940 2296.804570 3016.481373 3920.975869 5013.586289 6277.166338 7834.606641
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1630.522793 2263.206028 3025.655339 3995.951686 5181.073014 6564.829084 8285.066805
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1539.221153 2185.333166 2975.822489 3994.838671 5253.606646 6737.710971 8598.711838
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1443.357154 2096.411214 2907.570619 3966.666368 5289.558163 6864.140443 8855.225267
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1385.980930 2054.182635 2895.316666 4005.889016 5406.529542 7087.364462 9228.159057
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1311.394777 1987.011437 2849.902383 4002.987607 5472.317717 7250.987044 9533.674435
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1270.985290 1963.696181 2859.762908 4069.795155 5625.505073 7522.876575 9973.788278
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1195.903722 1889.361204 2799.488472 4043.124249 5658.094378 7644.213622 10228.318214
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1168.009545 1878.603647 2822.070302 4123.386408 5826.592134 7934.913834 10693.444919
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1120.382408 1837.737185 2802.286622 4146.252510 5920.239508 8131.567851 11042.253007
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1068.782533 1788.731908 2769.313562 4149.715975 5987.372886 8294.118053 11348.552186
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 979.392243 1680.885658 2651.739697 4035.843404 5897.713366 8254.782991 11398.455267
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 975.742099 1698.832564 2708.705933 4158.732796 6120.686396 8616.237128 11957.956463
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 957.638230 1694.194663 2733.294131 4237.062220 6284.801129 8902.987053 12424.268955
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 915.048209 1650.660140 2701.170051 4235.899540 6341.875721 9051.181888 12713.958431
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 866.114840 1595.214819 2650.016792 4206.468947 6359.482859 9147.187481 12936.321750